Analysis of Differences in Average Net Income of Peasants in Shandong Province Based on Moran’ I and LISA

Chun-lin HAO


Through relevant analysis of the changing space in the peasants’ average net income from 2005 to 2006 in 139 counties, towns and regions, this thesis works out the overall space statistic index Moran’s I and partial statistic index LISA, which well demonstrates the change of net income made by peasants in this area, and obviously manifest disharmony and difference from one region to another, especially from the east to the west. To solve the problem of big gap between the east and west, more efforts should be made to accelerate the development of the west. Regions in the middle and the west should renew developmental concept, rely on, serve and interconnect with central cities, speed up the transition of the surplus labor, put more investment into the construction of the agricultural infrastructure, strive to develop cooperative economic organizations and agricultural leading enterprises, energetically push the industrialization of agriculture.
Key words: average net income of peasants; relationship of space; Moran’s I; LISA; regional economic differences
Résumé: En faisant des analyses sur la corrélation spaciale de la variation des revenus moyens des paysans entre 2005-2006 dans 139 districts et villes dans la province du Shangdong, l’auteur a obtenu l’indice statistique de l’ensemble spacial- Moran’I et l’indice statistique de localité régionale-LISA. Ces deux indices ont bien démontré les variations des revenus moyens des paysans dans tous les districts et villes de la province du Shangdong, les disparates et les écarts entre les régions et surtout entre l’est et l’ouest. Pour résoudre le problème d’un écart trop important entre l’est et l’ouest, il faut accélérer le développement des régions dans l’ouest. Les régions du centre et de l’ouest doivent renouveler leur conception du développement et essayer de s’appuyer sur les villes centrales, les servir et les aboucher pour transférer les mains-d’oeuvre surplus, investir plus pour les infrasturctures de l’agriculture, soutenir les organisations économiques de coopération dans la campagne et les entreprises leaders agricoles et promouvoir l’industrialisation de l’agriculture.
Mots-clés: revenus moyens des paysans ; corrélation spaciale ; Moran’I, LISA ; différence de l’économie régionale
關鍵字:農民人均純收入;空間相關性;Moran’s I;LISA;區域經濟差異

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