Testing for Break in Persistence Under Long Memory and Variance Break

Zhaobo CHU, Hao JIN

Abstract


We consider the problem of testing for a break in persistence with long memory when the long memory is subject a variance break. The limiting distribution is derived under the null and the alternative hypothesis. The CUSUM of squared-based test diverge to infinity under the against of alternative as the sample size grows. We find that the size and power of the CUSUM of squared-based test suffer severe distortions due to negligible variance break. The numerical simulation results are consistent with our theoretical analysis.

Keywords


Variance change; Long memory series; CUSUM of squared-based test; Break of persistence

Full Text:

PDF

References


Betken, A. (2016). Testing for change-points in long-range dependent time series by means of a self-normalized wilcoxon test. Journal of Time, 37(6), 785-809.

Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationship over time. Journal of Royal Statistic Socirty, 37,149-163.

Busetti, F., & Taylor, A. M. R. (2004). Tests of stationarity against a change in persistence. Journal of Econometrics, 123(1), 33-66.

Cavaliere, G., & Taylor, A. M. R. (2008). Testing for a change in persistence in the presence of non-stationary volatility. Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics, 147(1), 84-98.

Chen, Z., Tian, Z., & Wei, Y. (2010). Monitoring change in persistence in linear time series. Statistics & Probability Letters, 80(19), 1520-1527.

Granger, C. W. J., & Joyeux, R. (1980). An introduction to long-memory time series models and fractional differencing. Journal of Time, 1(1), 15-29.

Jin, H., & Zhang, J. (2010). Subsampling tests for variance changes in the presence of autoregressive parameter shifts. Academic Press, Inc.

Jin, H., Tian, Z., & Qin, R. (2009). Bootstrap tests for structural change with infinite variance observations. Statistics & Probability Letters, 79(19), 1985-1995.

Kim, J. Y. (2000). Detection of change in persistence of a linear time series. Journal of Econometrics, 95(1), 97-116.

Kim, J. Y., Belaire, F, J., & Badilli, A. R. (2002). Corrigendum to “detection of change in persistence of a linear times series”. Journal of Econometrics, 109, 389-392.

Leybourne, S., Kim, T. H., Smith, V., & Newbold, P. (2003). Tests for a change in persistence against the null of difference-stationarity. Econometrics Journal, 6(2), 291-311.

Leybourne, S., Taylor, R., & Kim, T. (2007). CUSUM of squares-based tests for a change in persistence. J Time Ser Anal, 28, 408-433.

Li, D., Robinson, P. M., & Shang, H. L. (2017). Long-range dependent curve time series.

Li, M. (2013). On the long-range dependence of fractional Brownian motion. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, (8), 927-940.

Page, E. S. (1955). A test for change in a parameter occurring at an unknown point. Biometrika, 42, 523-527.

Shao, X. (2011). A simple test of changes in mean in the possible presence of long-range dependence. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 32, 598-606.

Sibbertsen, P., & Kruse, R. (2009). Testing for a break in persistence under long-range dependencies.

Sibbertsen, P., & Willert, J. (2012).Testing for a break in persistence under long-rangedependencies and mean shifts. Statistical Papers, 53, 357-370.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3968/10239

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2018 Management Science and Engineering

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.


Share us to:   


Reminder

  • How to do online submission to another Journal?
  • If you have already registered in Journal A, then how can you submit another article to Journal B? It takes two steps to make it happen:

1. Register yourself in Journal B as an Author

  • Find the journal you want to submit to in CATEGORIES, click on “VIEW JOURNAL”, “Online Submissions”, “GO TO LOGIN” and “Edit My Profile”. Check “Author” on the “Edit Profile” page, then “Save”.

2. Submission

  • Go to “User Home”, and click on “Author” under the name of Journal B. You may start a New Submission by clicking on “CLICK HERE”.


We only use three mailboxes as follows to deal with issues about paper acceptance, payment and submission of electronic versions of our journals to databases:
caooc@hotmail.com; mse@cscanada.net; mse@cscanada.org

 Articles published in Management Science and Engineering are licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY).

 MANAGEMENT SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING Editorial Office

Address:1055 Rue Lucien-L'Allier, Unit #772, Montreal, QC H3G 3C4, Canada.

Telephone: 1-514-558 6138
Http://www.cscanada.net Http://www.cscanada.org

Copyright © 2010 Canadian Research & Development Centre of Sciences and Cultures